Private Credit’s Unthinkable Becomes Reality as Trading Revs Up

Private credit managers are increasingly turning to the once-unthinkable: Trading in and out of loans to dump troubled assets and hunt for bargains amid the industry’s first stress test after years of breakneck growth.

A number of business development companies are looking to trim software exposure as concern mounts over AI-driven disruption, according to people with knowledge of the matter. Others are moving in the opposite direction, building positions in discounted loans that rarely traded hands in the past.

Apollo Global Management Inc. and KKR & Co. are among the firms that have been active in the market in recent weeks, the people said, asking not to be identified because the information is confidential. Even more opportunistic players like Diameter Capital Partners are jumping in, scooping up assets as sellers emerge.

The change underscores how rapidly conditions are shifting in the $1.8 trillion private credit industry. Until recently, many managers viewed trading loans to new investors as almost taboo, arguing it threatened the tightly controlled lender groups and price stability that helped distinguish direct lending from public markets.

But as funds grapple with surging redemption requests and banks mark down loans pledged as collateral for financing facilities, some are re-thinking those long-held views.

“Secondaries are something you’re going to hear a lot about for the next few years,” Scott Goodwin, co-founder of Diameter, said last week on stage at the Sohn Investment Conference.

He added that Diameter has completed 15 trades in the past two months alone, and anticipates between $150 billion and $200 billion of selling across the secondary private credit market. The opportunity set “is going to be expansive,” he said.

Representatives for Apollo and KKR declined to comment on their loan trading activity.