The sweeping 900-page tax and spending law signed on July 4 introduces a wide array of provisions that touch nearly every American in one way or another.
As central banks scramble to increase their gold reserves, many are turning to domestic mine production to save money, support local industry, and expand their reserves.
Current volatility and optimism are some of the topics being discussed in this new roundtable from Royce Investment Partners.
The yield on the 10-year note ended July 18, 2025 at 4.44%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.88% and the 30-year note ended at 5.00%.
In the latest report by the Census Bureau, housing starts rose 4.6% in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.321 million.
Bitcoin is not “appropriate” for long-term investors. Also, digital assets are more a speculation and less an investment.
It’s a quirk in the booming world of passive investing: Famed tech fund QQQ is the most profitable offering in the $11.7 trillion ETF industry, but Invesco Ltd. earns virtually nothing from running it. Now the asset manager is asking shareholders to change that.
If you’re a venture capitalist, you dream of backing the next billion-dollar startup to one day feast on the returns of a sale.
Many advisors undercharge out of fear, but increasing fees to match your value strengthens client relationships and ensures you’re rewarded for the services you provide.
Last week, Nvidia—whose processors are a key driver of the AI wave—became the world’s first publicly traded company to hit $4 trillion in market value.
The second quarter featured a trade war, armed conflicts in the Middle East and Europe, and continued turmoil in Washington, yet markets continued to rally, likely due to an elevated money supply and an increase in passive investing.
Contrary to popular belief, investors can use TradFi best practices to analyze on-chain KPIs of DeFi networks and the underlying fundamentals of the tokens that drive them.
With inflation proving to be sticky, sovereign debt burdens escalating, and trust in institutions coming under scrutiny, investors are reassessing the role that hard assets play in protecting and preserving long-term purchasing power.
Not sure which to choose? Here are some things to consider about individual bonds vs. bond funds.
Nominal retail sales in June were up 0.64% month-over-month and up 3.92% year-over-year. However, after adjusting for inflation, real retail sales were up 0.35% month-over-month and up 1.22% year-over-year.
As inflation concerns continue to influence 2025 market dynamics, investors seek equity-based strategies to provide rising-price protection.
Home values fell for a fourth straight month in June, according to the Zillow Home Value Index. However, after adjusting for inflation, real home values dropped for a 14th consecutive month, hitting their lowest level since April 2021.
Builder confidence received a slight boost in July with the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act but remained near its lowest level in over 2.5 years.
The Census Bureau's Advance Retail Sales Report for June showed consumer spending was higher than expected, with headline sales rising 0.6%.
The latest Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index showed activity expanded for the first time in four months. The index was rose nearly 20 points to 15.9 in July, the highest level since February. The latest reading was better than the forecast of -1.2.
Only a few years ago, the Biden administration declared export controls a “new strategic asset” to help the US maintain “as large a lead as possible” over China in advanced technology. President Donald Trump is now upending that approach.
Just four months into his tenure at the Pentagon, private equity billionaire Steve Feinberg has landed his first big deal: a $400 million bet on the US’s only miner of rare-earth elements, a key commodity in the rivalry with China.
Investors may be happy to shift some of their focus away from the ongoing tariff saga and back toward economic data and earnings reports.
The U.S. economy remains resilient despite headline volatility tied to shifting trade and tariff policies. Meanwhile, we continue to see a lot of volatility in the economic data as the world adjusts to these changing policies.
Your technology matters. Your processes matter. But your team determines whether you scale or stagnate. Your people will make or break your growth story; choose wisely.
President Donald Trump hailed more than $92 billion in investments in artificial intelligence and energy infrastructure during a visit to Pennsylvania, highlighting his efforts to bolster US competitiveness in the AI field.
Chief executive officers in the US and beyond are becoming accustomed to the policy swings of President Donald Trump and are deciding they can pursue growth ambitions regardless.
Low volatility exchange traded funds are a compelling solution for those looking to dampen risk while staying invested.
Wholesale inflation cooled to its lowest level in nine months in June. The producer price index for final demand was flat month-over-month after rising 0.3% in May. This was lower than the expected 0.2% growth.
For many years, the pension plan has often been a drag on a corporation’s financial positions. Now that’s generally no longer the case, and it’s time to consider what’s next.
The RAFI™ Fundamental Index has a value tilt, but to characterize it as a value index would be an oversimplification that misses the important advantages that the fundamental index offers above standard “value” index approaches.
High yield bonds have historically delivered attractive long-term returns, and since the Great Financial Crisis they have also become higher quality, as weaker borrowers have departed the sector for the private credit and leveraged loan markets.
Emerging market (EM) countries are often generalized as all the same and driven by commodity prices. The reality can be very different. Here's what you should know about EM stocks now.
With the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) signed into law on July 4, this note briefly discusses some of the implications for energy broadly and the energy infrastructure space.
The Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U) release for June puts the year-over-year inflation rate at 2.67%. The latest reading keeps inflation below the 3.73% average since the end of the Second World War for a 25th straight month. Additionally, for a 5th consecutive month, inflation sits below the 10-year moving average which is at 3.01%.
Gas prices were practically unchanged this week, remaining near their lowest level in a month. As of July 14th, the price of regular gas was unchanged while the price of premium gas was down 1 cent from the previous week.
This series has been updated to include the June release of the consumer price index as the deflator and the monthly employment update. The latest hypothetical real (inflation-adjusted) annual earnings are at $52,327, down 6.5% from over 50 years ago.
Inflation affects everything from grocery bills to rent, making the Consumer Price Index (CPI) one of the most closely watched economic indicators. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) tracks this by categorizing spending into eight categories, each weighted by its relative importance.
Manufacturing activity expanded for the first time in five months in New York State, according to the Empire State Manufacturing July survey. The diffusion index for General Business Conditions rose 21.5 points to 5.5. The latest reading was better than the forecast of -8.3.
Inflation heated up for a second straight month in June. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the headline figure for the Consumer Price Index was at 2.7% year-over-year, up from 2.4% in May and higher than the expected 2.6% growth.
It is easy to invest when markets are rallying, but it can be tough for investors to stay in their seats when markets inevitably decline again.
As the second quarter earnings season kicks into gear, Wall Street analysts are forecasting modest earnings growth of 4.8% for companies in the S&P 500.
Every year around this time, we update our Periodic Table of Commodities Returns to reflect the performance of raw materials in the first six months. I’m biased, but few tools do a better job of providing a clear, interactive picture of the commodities landscape than ours.
The right level of regulation requires careful calibration.
Eight of the nine indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through July 14, 2025.
We suspect that for many of our clients, converting to a Roth will make sense, either today or in the near future. We hope this note and our calculator will encourage many of you to give the conversion decision another look.
Our advice to Fed Chairman Powell is to consider both sides of the argument and act to lower inflation over the longer term.
Fixed income benchmarks have two fundamental flaws. First, their exposures prioritize the needs of borrowers rather than investors. Second, they tend to expose investors to the biggest risks at the worst times.
As investors try to determine the policy direction of the Trump administration, there is good reason to believe there will be a lot of back and forth.
ClearBridge Investments believes tariffs remain the key risk to corporate profits in the second half of the year and is less concerned about geopolitical events or the outlook for fiscal and monetary policy.
Uncertainty has not impaired overall economic performance.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. bosses grew curious last summer as they clocked an unusual number of absences at the training sessions that kicked off their ultra-competitive junior analyst program.
The valuation of small-cap stocks relative to large caps remains historically attractive, and small-cap recoveries in the past have resulted in meaningful periods of outperformance.
Franklin Mutual Series shares its mid-year outlook, focusing on corporate fundamentals as a catalyst to unlock value in the midst of ongoing market volatility.
As we head into the second half of the year, expect record stock buyback activity for companies in the S&P 500.
Global central bankers have ducked a chance to push for tight borrowing constraints on the biggest hedge funds, whose importance to core government bond and other financial markets has grown enormously in the past decade.
Huawei Technologies Co. is trying to export small quantities of AI chips to the Middle East and Southeast Asia, an effort to establish a foothold in markets dominated by Nvidia Corp. despite ongoing manufacturing challenges.
US equities swung between small gains and losses at the open Thursday as investors parsed through a slew of tariff headlines and looked ahead to corporate results that are due to start in the earnest next week.
Liberation Day seems like a lifetime ago. But the 90-day pause is almost over, and—thus far—there are few deals that have been consummated.
In this month’s issue, Franklin Templeton Emerging Markets Equity explains how markets in many regions are weathering US policy uncertainty and offers an upbeat assessment of Vietnam after a recent research visit.
A new era of regulation is bound to bring high hopes for the crypto bulls. House Republicans are now gearing up for “Crypto Week” – during which the committee has agreed to prioritize digital asset legislation and review several crypto-related bills.
Our strategy work and quantitative insights suggest the conditions behind more than a decade of U.S. equity outperformance are starting to shift.
The labor force participation rate (LFPR) is a simple computation: You take the civilian labor force (people aged 16 and over employed or seeking employment) and divide it by the civilian non-institutional population (those 16 and over not in the military and or committed to an institution). As of June, the labor force participation rate is at 62.3%, down from 62.4% the previous month.
Our monthly workforce recovery analysis has been updated to include the latest employment report for June. The unemployment rate unexpectedly inch lower to 4.1%. Additionally, the number of new non-farm jobs (a relatively volatile number subject to extensive revisions) came in at 147,000.
ClearBridge Investments believes positive forces from One Big Beautiful Bill Act passage and future interest rate cuts should soon outweigh negative forces of tariff actions.
Markets rebounded sharply in 2Q 2025 following April’s tariff-driven selloff. Our mid-year market outlook breaks down the recovery, Fed policy, and where to invest next.
Are interest rates too high? A lot of people think they are, and a growing chorus of voices is calling on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to cut rates.
How the Matthews Emerging Markets Equity Fund’s strategy helped it achieve outperformance during a historic period for global markets.
Apple Inc.’s top executive in charge of artificial intelligence models is leaving for Meta Platforms Inc., another setback in the iPhone maker’s struggling AI efforts.
If you’ve been following the mainstream financial media lately, you might think the airline industry is in crisis. From headlines about tariffs and labor costs to geopolitical tensions and delays at Newark Airport, it sounds like air travel should be tanking.
Asian countries including Japan and South Korea said they’ll keep pushing for a better deal for their exports to the US after President Donald Trump shifted his tariff deadline to Aug. 1 and tweaked the rates he’s set for many economies.
The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index held steady in June, inching down 0.2 points to 98.6.
It was a positive quarter for emerging markets equities.
The earnings bar is fairly low for the second quarter, setting companies up for a potential easy jump—but there will likely be more focus on forward guidance.
This year, so far, the world has been riddled with geopolitical news, resonating in widespread unrest, yet seemingly yielding less impact on financial markets.
Semiconductor equities and related ETFs notched impressive performances in the first half of the year. They were buoyed by ongoing enthusiasm for the AI trade and post-Liberation Day resurgence by the Magnificent Seven.
In this video, Chuck Carnevale, co-founder of FAST Graphs, reviews 13 stocks investors asked to see.
June's employment report showed that 82.8% of total employed workers were full-time (35+ hours) and 17.2% of total employed workers were part-time (<35 hours).
U.S. stocks are no longer the best-performing asset class this year. Gold and foreign stocks are the best performers.
Multiple jobholders accounted for 5.3% of civilian employment in June.
In part 2 of this series, this article looks past the data center operators and focuses on the natural gas pipelines and the manufacturers of natural gas power plant equipment.
Last week, the U.S. labor market took center stage, delivering conflicting signals. The S&P 500 reached many record highs during the shortened trading week.
In last week’s letter, I referenced Torsten Sløk’s excellent midyear outlook for Apollo Global Management. Today I’ll share some longer quotes which will, I hope, help you visualize where the economy is headed.
The moving average for the per-capita light vehicle sales series peaked in August 1978. Almost 50 years later, it is down nearly 37% from that peak.
President Donald Trump plans to announce trade deals and deliver tariff warnings on Monday, as countries negotiated through the weekend to avoid the highest punitive measures on their exports to the US before a Wednesday deadline.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is leading a potential transaction for Gray Media Inc. to help the company refinance some of its existing debt, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
BlackRock Inc. is considering a sale of its stake in the leasing rights to Saudi Aramco’s natural-gas pipeline network back to the energy giant, according to people familiar with the matter.
Tariffs have been the dominant theme in economic policy this year. While President Trump has long held protectionist views, his administration’s approach to international commerce has been more belligerent than was seen in his first term.
The bull market is alive and well, even amid widespread talk of the “death of U.S. exceptionalism.
This quarter might best be described as the “Big Beautiful Bounce”. Or the BBB. History has proven time and time again that markets do come back – but this was a historically quick market turnaround.
Small Cap
Potential Fiscal Impact of the 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act'
The sweeping 900-page tax and spending law signed on July 4 introduces a wide array of provisions that touch nearly every American in one way or another.
Central Banks Buying More Domestically Produced Gold
As central banks scramble to increase their gold reserves, many are turning to domestic mine production to save money, support local industry, and expand their reserves.
US Small-Cap Forecast—More Volatility and Cautious Optimism
Current volatility and optimism are some of the topics being discussed in this new roundtable from Royce Investment Partners.
Treasury Yields Snapshot: July 18, 2025
The yield on the 10-year note ended July 18, 2025 at 4.44%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.88% and the 30-year note ended at 5.00%.
Housing Starts Up 4.6% in June, Higher Than Expected
In the latest report by the Census Bureau, housing starts rose 4.6% in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.321 million.
Vanguard Goes Big on Crypto, Thanks to the Index-Fund Boom It Unleashed
Bitcoin is not “appropriate” for long-term investors. Also, digital assets are more a speculation and less an investment.
Invesco Aims to Unlock Hundreds of Millions in Profit From QQQ
It’s a quirk in the booming world of passive investing: Famed tech fund QQQ is the most profitable offering in the $11.7 trillion ETF industry, but Invesco Ltd. earns virtually nothing from running it. Now the asset manager is asking shareholders to change that.
Big Tech ‘Acquihiring’ Is an Ugly But Useful Trend
If you’re a venture capitalist, you dream of backing the next billion-dollar startup to one day feast on the returns of a sale.
Change Your Price (and Keep the Change!)
Many advisors undercharge out of fear, but increasing fees to match your value strengthens client relationships and ensures you’re rewarded for the services you provide.
Beyond Nvidia: Are You Overlooking An AI Opportunity?
Last week, Nvidia—whose processors are a key driver of the AI wave—became the world’s first publicly traded company to hit $4 trillion in market value.
Third Quarter Strategic Income Outlook
The second quarter featured a trade war, armed conflicts in the Middle East and Europe, and continued turmoil in Washington, yet markets continued to rally, likely due to an elevated money supply and an increase in passive investing.
Revolution—Not Evolution: The Crypto Dilemma
Contrary to popular belief, investors can use TradFi best practices to analyze on-chain KPIs of DeFi networks and the underlying fundamentals of the tokens that drive them.
Bitcoin and Gold: Three Model Forecasts for 2030 and Beyond
With inflation proving to be sticky, sovereign debt burdens escalating, and trust in institutions coming under scrutiny, investors are reassessing the role that hard assets play in protecting and preserving long-term purchasing power.
Bonds vs. Bond Funds: Which Is Right for You?
Not sure which to choose? Here are some things to consider about individual bonds vs. bond funds.
The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Retail Sales Rise 0.4% in June
Nominal retail sales in June were up 0.64% month-over-month and up 3.92% year-over-year. However, after adjusting for inflation, real retail sales were up 0.35% month-over-month and up 1.22% year-over-year.
3 Equity ETFs Designed to Combat Inflation in 2025
As inflation concerns continue to influence 2025 market dynamics, investors seek equity-based strategies to provide rising-price protection.
Zillow Home Value Index: "Real" Home Values at Lowest Level Since April 2021
Home values fell for a fourth straight month in June, according to the Zillow Home Value Index. However, after adjusting for inflation, real home values dropped for a 14th consecutive month, hitting their lowest level since April 2021.
NAHB Housing Market Index: Builder Confidence Receives Slight Boost
Builder confidence received a slight boost in July with the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act but remained near its lowest level in over 2.5 years.
Retail Sales Up 0.6% in June, Better Than Expected
The Census Bureau's Advance Retail Sales Report for June showed consumer spending was higher than expected, with headline sales rising 0.6%.
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index: Highest Level Since February
The latest Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index showed activity expanded for the first time in four months. The index was rose nearly 20 points to 15.9 in July, the highest level since February. The latest reading was better than the forecast of -1.2.
Trump’s U-Turn on Nvidia Spurs Talk of Grand Bargain With China
Only a few years ago, the Biden administration declared export controls a “new strategic asset” to help the US maintain “as large a lead as possible” over China in advanced technology. President Donald Trump is now upending that approach.
Feinberg Brings Wall Street Drive to Rare-Earth Minerals Push
Just four months into his tenure at the Pentagon, private equity billionaire Steve Feinberg has landed his first big deal: a $400 million bet on the US’s only miner of rare-earth elements, a key commodity in the rivalry with China.
Inflation Week on Wall Street Comes as Tariff Risk Re-Emerges
Investors may be happy to shift some of their focus away from the ongoing tariff saga and back toward economic data and earnings reports.
Despite Economic Uncertainties and Wild Market Swings, U.S. Economic Fundamentals Refuse to Buckle
The U.S. economy remains resilient despite headline volatility tied to shifting trade and tariff policies. Meanwhile, we continue to see a lot of volatility in the economic data as the world adjusts to these changing policies.
Talent Is the Tipping Point: Why the Right Team Makes or Breaks RIA Growth
Your technology matters. Your processes matter. But your team determines whether you scale or stagnate. Your people will make or break your growth story; choose wisely.
Trump Hails $92 Billion in Investments for AI, Energy Projects
President Donald Trump hailed more than $92 billion in investments in artificial intelligence and energy infrastructure during a visit to Pennsylvania, highlighting his efforts to bolster US competitiveness in the AI field.
JPMorgan and Citi Clients Are Getting Comfortable With Chaos
Chief executive officers in the US and beyond are becoming accustomed to the policy swings of President Donald Trump and are deciding they can pursue growth ambitions regardless.
Weathering the Storm: Case for Low Volatility ETFs
Low volatility exchange traded funds are a compelling solution for those looking to dampen risk while staying invested.
Producer Price Index: Wholesale Inflation Cooler Than Expected in June
Wholesale inflation cooled to its lowest level in nine months in June. The producer price index for final demand was flat month-over-month after rising 0.3% in May. This was lower than the expected 0.2% growth.
Midyear Liability-Driven Investing Outlook: What’s Next for Corporate Pensions?
For many years, the pension plan has often been a drag on a corporation’s financial positions. Now that’s generally no longer the case, and it’s time to consider what’s next.
Must Value Be Anti-Growth?
The RAFI™ Fundamental Index has a value tilt, but to characterize it as a value index would be an oversimplification that misses the important advantages that the fundamental index offers above standard “value” index approaches.
Higher Quality High Yield: Addition by Subtraction
High yield bonds have historically delivered attractive long-term returns, and since the Great Financial Crisis they have also become higher quality, as weaker borrowers have departed the sector for the private credit and leveraged loan markets.
Benefits of Emerging Markets Diversification
Emerging market (EM) countries are often generalized as all the same and driven by commodity prices. The reality can be very different. Here's what you should know about EM stocks now.
One Big Beautiful Bill and MLP/Midstream Implications
With the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) signed into law on July 4, this note briefly discusses some of the implications for energy broadly and the energy infrastructure space.
Inflation Since 1872: A Long-Term Look at the CPI
The Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U) release for June puts the year-over-year inflation rate at 2.67%. The latest reading keeps inflation below the 3.73% average since the end of the Second World War for a 25th straight month. Additionally, for a 5th consecutive month, inflation sits below the 10-year moving average which is at 3.01%.
Gas Prices Practically Unchanged This Week
Gas prices were practically unchanged this week, remaining near their lowest level in a month. As of July 14th, the price of regular gas was unchanged while the price of premium gas was down 1 cent from the previous week.
Real Middle Class Wages as of June 2025
This series has been updated to include the June release of the consumer price index as the deflator and the monthly employment update. The latest hypothetical real (inflation-adjusted) annual earnings are at $52,327, down 6.5% from over 50 years ago.
Inside the Consumer Price Index: June 2025
Inflation affects everything from grocery bills to rent, making the Consumer Price Index (CPI) one of the most closely watched economic indicators. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) tracks this by categorizing spending into eight categories, each weighted by its relative importance.
Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Activity Picked Up in July
Manufacturing activity expanded for the first time in five months in New York State, according to the Empire State Manufacturing July survey. The diffusion index for General Business Conditions rose 21.5 points to 5.5. The latest reading was better than the forecast of -8.3.
Consumer Price Index: Inflation Rises to 2.7% in June, Higher Than Expected
Inflation heated up for a second straight month in June. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the headline figure for the Consumer Price Index was at 2.7% year-over-year, up from 2.4% in May and higher than the expected 2.6% growth.
2025 Mid-Year Outlook: Stay Invested
It is easy to invest when markets are rallying, but it can be tough for investors to stay in their seats when markets inevitably decline again.
Q2 2025 Earnings Preview: Modest Growth Expected Amidst Economic Crosswinds
As the second quarter earnings season kicks into gear, Wall Street analysts are forecasting modest earnings growth of 4.8% for companies in the S&P 500.
Precious Metals Crushed Their Commodities Peers in the First Half of 2025
Every year around this time, we update our Periodic Table of Commodities Returns to reflect the performance of raw materials in the first six months. I’m biased, but few tools do a better job of providing a clear, interactive picture of the commodities landscape than ours.
Rethinking Bank Regulation
The right level of regulation requires careful calibration.
World Markets Watchlist: July 14, 2025
Eight of the nine indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through July 14, 2025.
Size Matters in the Roth IRA Conversion Decision
We suspect that for many of our clients, converting to a Roth will make sense, either today or in the near future. We hope this note and our calculator will encourage many of you to give the conversion decision another look.
Might Lower Rates Be the Cure for Higher Prices?
Our advice to Fed Chairman Powell is to consider both sides of the argument and act to lower inflation over the longer term.
Are You Buying What They Selling? We’re Not—Here’s Why.
Fixed income benchmarks have two fundamental flaws. First, their exposures prioritize the needs of borrowers rather than investors. Second, they tend to expose investors to the biggest risks at the worst times.
Market Review Q2 25: Ping-Pong Policy
As investors try to determine the policy direction of the Trump administration, there is good reason to believe there will be a lot of back and forth.
US Equity Midyear Outlook: Looking Toward 2026 for Upside
ClearBridge Investments believes tariffs remain the key risk to corporate profits in the second half of the year and is less concerned about geopolitical events or the outlook for fiscal and monetary policy.
Neither Here Nor There
Uncertainty has not impaired overall economic performance.
Big Banks Are Tired of Losing Recruits to Private Equity
JPMorgan Chase & Co. bosses grew curious last summer as they clocked an unusual number of absences at the training sessions that kicked off their ultra-competitive junior analyst program.
Are Small Caps Next in Line to Shine?
The valuation of small-cap stocks relative to large caps remains historically attractive, and small-cap recoveries in the past have resulted in meaningful periods of outperformance.
Fundamentals Are a Lighthouse in the Storm
Franklin Mutual Series shares its mid-year outlook, focusing on corporate fundamentals as a catalyst to unlock value in the midst of ongoing market volatility.
Buybacks Reach Record Highs as Q2 Earnings Season Approaches
As we head into the second half of the year, expect record stock buyback activity for companies in the S&P 500.
Central Banks are Flying Blind on Hedge Fund Leverage
Global central bankers have ducked a chance to push for tight borrowing constraints on the biggest hedge funds, whose importance to core government bond and other financial markets has grown enormously in the past decade.
Huawei Seeks AI Chip Customers in Middle East, Southeast Asia
Huawei Technologies Co. is trying to export small quantities of AI chips to the Middle East and Southeast Asia, an effort to establish a foothold in markets dominated by Nvidia Corp. despite ongoing manufacturing challenges.
Stocks Steady as Traders Look Through Chaos to Corporate Results
US equities swung between small gains and losses at the open Thursday as investors parsed through a slew of tariff headlines and looked ahead to corporate results that are due to start in the earnest next week.
At the Midway Point: Returning to the Fundamentals
Liberation Day seems like a lifetime ago. But the 90-day pause is almost over, and—thus far—there are few deals that have been consummated.
Emerging Markets Insights: Seeking Clarity on Tariffs
In this month’s issue, Franklin Templeton Emerging Markets Equity explains how markets in many regions are weathering US policy uncertainty and offers an upbeat assessment of Vietnam after a recent research visit.
Beyond Bitcoin ETFs: The Blockchain Trade
A new era of regulation is bound to bring high hopes for the crypto bulls. House Republicans are now gearing up for “Crypto Week” – during which the committee has agreed to prioritize digital asset legislation and review several crypto-related bills.
Non-U.S. Investing In a Fragmenting World
Our strategy work and quantitative insights suggest the conditions behind more than a decade of U.S. equity outperformance are starting to shift.
Long-Term Employment Trends by Age and Gender: June 2025
The labor force participation rate (LFPR) is a simple computation: You take the civilian labor force (people aged 16 and over employed or seeking employment) and divide it by the civilian non-institutional population (those 16 and over not in the military and or committed to an institution). As of June, the labor force participation rate is at 62.3%, down from 62.4% the previous month.
U.S. Workforce Recovery Analysis: June 2025
Our monthly workforce recovery analysis has been updated to include the latest employment report for June. The unemployment rate unexpectedly inch lower to 4.1%. Additionally, the number of new non-farm jobs (a relatively volatile number subject to extensive revisions) came in at 147,000.
The Long View: Push-pull
ClearBridge Investments believes positive forces from One Big Beautiful Bill Act passage and future interest rate cuts should soon outweigh negative forces of tariff actions.
2025 Market Review & Mid-Year Market Outlook: Resilience in the Face of Uncertainty
Markets rebounded sharply in 2Q 2025 following April’s tariff-driven selloff. Our mid-year market outlook breaks down the recovery, Fed policy, and where to invest next.
Are Interest Rates Too High?
Are interest rates too high? A lot of people think they are, and a growing chorus of voices is calling on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to cut rates.
Outperformance in Extraordinary Times
How the Matthews Emerging Markets Equity Fund’s strategy helped it achieve outperformance during a historic period for global markets.
Apple Loses Top AI Models Executive to Meta’s Hiring Spree
Apple Inc.’s top executive in charge of artificial intelligence models is leaving for Meta Platforms Inc., another setback in the iPhone maker’s struggling AI efforts.
Wall Street Is Wrong on Airlines: Americans Are Flying Like Never Before
If you’ve been following the mainstream financial media lately, you might think the airline industry is in crisis. From headlines about tariffs and labor costs to geopolitical tensions and delays at Newark Airport, it sounds like air travel should be tanking.
Asian Economies in Rush to Cut Tariff Deals as US Deadline Moves
Asian countries including Japan and South Korea said they’ll keep pushing for a better deal for their exports to the US after President Donald Trump shifted his tariff deadline to Aug. 1 and tweaked the rates he’s set for many economies.
NFIB Small Business Survey: Optimism Remains Steady While Uncertainty Falls
The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index held steady in June, inching down 0.2 points to 98.6.
A Solid Quarter Signals Promising Potential
It was a positive quarter for emerging markets equities.
2Q Earnings: The Beat Goes On?
The earnings bar is fairly low for the second quarter, setting companies up for a potential easy jump—but there will likely be more focus on forward guidance.
Fixed Income In Focus: 2025 Mid-Year Recap
This year, so far, the world has been riddled with geopolitical news, resonating in widespread unrest, yet seemingly yielding less impact on financial markets.
After Impressive First Half, This Chip ETF Has Fuel for More Upside
Semiconductor equities and related ETFs notched impressive performances in the first half of the year. They were buoyed by ongoing enthusiasm for the AI trade and post-Liberation Day resurgence by the Magnificent Seven.
13 More Stocks Investors Asked To See
In this video, Chuck Carnevale, co-founder of FAST Graphs, reviews 13 stocks investors asked to see.
A Closer Look at Full-time and Part-time Employment: June 2025
June's employment report showed that 82.8% of total employed workers were full-time (35+ hours) and 17.2% of total employed workers were part-time (<35 hours).
A Concise and Comprehensive Review of Asset Class Performance in 1H 2025
U.S. stocks are no longer the best-performing asset class this year. Gold and foreign stocks are the best performers.
Multiple Jobholders Account for 5.3% of Workers in June 2025
Multiple jobholders accounted for 5.3% of civilian employment in June.
Behind the Meter Solutions Investing Guide
In part 2 of this series, this article looks past the data center operators and focuses on the natural gas pipelines and the manufacturers of natural gas power plant equipment.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: The Labor Market’s Conflicting Signals
Last week, the U.S. labor market took center stage, delivering conflicting signals. The S&P 500 reached many record highs during the shortened trading week.
At The Crossroads
In last week’s letter, I referenced Torsten Sløk’s excellent midyear outlook for Apollo Global Management. Today I’ll share some longer quotes which will, I hope, help you visualize where the economy is headed.
Vehicle Sales: June 2025
The moving average for the per-capita light vehicle sales series peaked in August 1978. Almost 50 years later, it is down nearly 37% from that peak.
Trump Sets Aug. 1 Start for Tariffs Ahead of Wednesday Deadline
President Donald Trump plans to announce trade deals and deliver tariff warnings on Monday, as countries negotiated through the weekend to avoid the highest punitive measures on their exports to the US before a Wednesday deadline.
Goldman Sachs Shops High-Yield Debt Deal for Gray Media
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is leading a potential transaction for Gray Media Inc. to help the company refinance some of its existing debt, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
BlackRock Weighs Selling Stake in Saudi Aramco Gas Pipelines
BlackRock Inc. is considering a sale of its stake in the leasing rights to Saudi Aramco’s natural-gas pipeline network back to the energy giant, according to people familiar with the matter.
Mid-Year Themes
Tariffs have been the dominant theme in economic policy this year. While President Trump has long held protectionist views, his administration’s approach to international commerce has been more belligerent than was seen in his first term.
The Bull Market is Alive and Well
The bull market is alive and well, even amid widespread talk of the “death of U.S. exceptionalism.
Growth Equity Portfolio Second Quarter Review June 30, 2025
This quarter might best be described as the “Big Beautiful Bounce”. Or the BBB. History has proven time and time again that markets do come back – but this was a historically quick market turnaround.