When you have a significant underperformance period, investors have a good reason for wondering if you’ve lost your investing mojo.
The second quarter featured a trade war, armed conflicts in the Middle East and Europe, and continued turmoil in Washington, yet markets continued to rally, likely due to an elevated money supply and an increase in passive investing.
Goldman reported record equity trading revenue in second-quarter earnings on Wednesday and trounced its peers with a rebound in investment banking revenue that was fueled by a 70% jump in deal-making fees versus the same period last year.
June was a month of stabilization and subtle strength for preferreds.
The U.S. economy remains resilient despite headline volatility tied to shifting trade and tariff policies. Meanwhile, we continue to see a lot of volatility in the economic data as the world adjusts to these changing policies.
Each month, this column will focus on issues related to advisor transition. One of the most difficult ones is working with your team as you determine how, when, and where to transition your firm.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s stock traders posted the largest revenue haul in Wall Street history, as volatility sparked by the Trump administration’s trade war spurred a second straight record quarter for the unit.
High yield bonds have historically delivered attractive long-term returns, and since the Great Financial Crisis they have also become higher quality, as weaker borrowers have departed the sector for the private credit and leveraged loan markets.
With the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) signed into law on July 4, this note briefly discusses some of the implications for energy broadly and the energy infrastructure space.
As 2025 progresses, investors and policymakers are navigating a highly complex economic landscape shaped by three powerful and interrelated forces: evolving trade policy, a cautious U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), and growing concerns over U.S. fiscal discipline.
JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s investment bankers eked out a surprise gain in the second quarter, signaling what may be the start of a dealmaking rebound after widespread hesitation tied to US tariff policies.
It is easy to invest when markets are rallying, but it can be tough for investors to stay in their seats when markets inevitably decline again.
We suspect that for many of our clients, converting to a Roth will make sense, either today or in the near future. We hope this note and our calculator will encourage many of you to give the conversion decision another look.
Banks are looking to sell $2.25 billion of term loans and $2 billion equivalent of bonds for Boots, to help finance its acquisition by US private equity firm Sycamore Partners, according to people familiar with the matter.
As investors try to determine the policy direction of the Trump administration, there is good reason to believe there will be a lot of back and forth.
Banks from Wells Fargo & Co. to smaller Japanese lenders are flocking to top-rated collateralized loan obligation deals, pushing up secondary prices for buyout debt.
A multibillion-dollar capital markets experiment is unfolding on Wall Street, as entrepreneurs use blank-check companies and reverse mergers to take their holdings of digital assets public.
Bitcoin options traders are already setting their sights on higher prices as the original cryptocurrency extends its record-breaking rally for a second day.
I have been a pension nerd since I was 20 years old. So I have been hearing for literally decades that there is a simple, magical solution to all our retirement funding problems: Just take more risk! When the investments pay off, the coffers will be replenished and all will be well.
The valuation of small-cap stocks relative to large caps remains historically attractive, and small-cap recoveries in the past have resulted in meaningful periods of outperformance.
As we reach the midpoint of 2025, we reflect on the notably volatile trajectory of bond yields so far this year, considering the potential opportunity for tax-aware fixed income investors to harvest losses.
After mid-level performance in Q1, financials sector earnings are seen slowing in Q2, according to analysts, though favorable signs like the yield curve could help margins.
Franklin Mutual Series shares its mid-year outlook, focusing on corporate fundamentals as a catalyst to unlock value in the midst of ongoing market volatility.
Global central bankers have ducked a chance to push for tight borrowing constraints on the biggest hedge funds, whose importance to core government bond and other financial markets has grown enormously in the past decade.
Huawei Technologies Co. is trying to export small quantities of AI chips to the Middle East and Southeast Asia, an effort to establish a foothold in markets dominated by Nvidia Corp. despite ongoing manufacturing challenges.
Rare earth magnet producer MP Materials Corp. secured a $400 million equity investment from the US Department of Defense to build a new plant, with a $1 billion financing commitment from JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. The shares soared.
Private equity firms are bringing their portfolio companies back to the US IPO market, testing investor demand for firms that have more debt than other recent listings.
At the recent 2025 Morningstar Investment Conference, CEO Kunal Kapoor highlighted a growing trend that is reshaping the investment landscape.
Looking at the first half of 2025 reveals a nuanced landscape for private equity (PE) and principal investors.
The artificial intelligence investment landscape reached a critical inflection point in Q2 2025, with the ROBO Global Artificial Intelligence Index (THNQ) delivering exceptional returns of 24.4%.
Reckoner Capital Management is testing investors’ hunger for a new category of risky bets with an exchange-traded fund that uses leverage to juice returns on collateralized loan obligations.
Nearly six months into Donald Trump’s presidency, a Trump Doctrine is coming into view.
The headline employment figure came in stronger than expected and better than feared following the weak ADP report, but the details were far from a blockbuster.
If you’ve been following the mainstream financial media lately, you might think the airline industry is in crisis. From headlines about tariffs and labor costs to geopolitical tensions and delays at Newark Airport, it sounds like air travel should be tanking.
Private equity has officially conquered the registered investment advisor (RIA) landscape. It is now responsible for a significant portion of RIA-linked M&A activity.
As the second half gets underway, we think a modest overweight to risk assets is called for.
In part 2 of this series, this article looks past the data center operators and focuses on the natural gas pipelines and the manufacturers of natural gas power plant equipment.
A pre-summer frenzy in junk loans is seeing the market start to overheat, prompting investors to get a bit more picky about deals after spreads reached the tightest levels in years.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is leading a potential transaction for Gray Media Inc. to help the company refinance some of its existing debt, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
BlackRock Inc. is considering a sale of its stake in the leasing rights to Saudi Aramco’s natural-gas pipeline network back to the energy giant, according to people familiar with the matter.
The bull market is alive and well, even amid widespread talk of the “death of U.S. exceptionalism.
Investors looking for cash flow from commercial real estate may want to check out the debt side.
This quarter might best be described as the “Big Beautiful Bounce”. Or the BBB. History has proven time and time again that markets do come back – but this was a historically quick market turnaround.
As President Donald Trump and his advisers begin weighing replacements for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, they’re running into one significant complication: It’s not clear that Powell will leave the US central bank next year.
Some say private credit hasn’t been tested. We disagree…and stress can sharpen the senses.
The latest employment report showed that 147,000 jobs were added in June, up from 144,000 in May and higher than the expected 111,000 addition. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate unexpectedly inched lower to 4.1%.
Proposed regulatory changes involving the Supplementary Leverage Ratio may have benefits for both large banks and the Treasury market.
We began the year optimistic that an environment of slowing growth, disinflation and easier monetary policy would be favorable for fixed income markets. Now at midyear, we maintain that view, while acknowledging that policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks may likely result in continued volatility.
For good reasons, many investors have a love-hate relationship with commodity investments. Operationally, the annoying K-1 form complicates tax filing, although thankfully the industry has started to launch “no K-1” funds.
As direct lending matures and other private credit areas expand, active investors can apply relative value strategies across sectors – and even entire markets – to pursue enhanced outcomes.
For sophisticated investors, this technical shift marks a subtle but powerful pivot in monetary mechanics. It could create demand for Treasuries, improve market liquidity, and push yields lower at a time when the economy is slowing.
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney handed US President Donald Trump a win in the hope of making bigger gains in trade negotiations.
Margin loan recommendations are often presented by brokers as tax-savvy strategies that allow clients to access “tax-free” cash while keeping their portfolios intact. In many cases, however, the math benefits the advisor more than the investor.
US lenders are on a tear and hedge funds are snapping up shares at a furious pace, underscoring Wall Street’s increasing conviction that their record-breaking rally has more room to run.
Readers of a certain age will no doubt recall President Ronald Reagan launching one of the most ambitious military buildups in American history.
Thematic investing has experienced cycles of popularity over time. In less cautious market environments, investors often turn their attention to ambitious ideas — such as disruptive technologies or other transformative future trends — looking beyond traditional equity ETFs.
The S&P 500 Index just rallied back to all-time highs, brushing off the April tariff shock, the conflict with Iran and the insidious and persistent increase in US continuing jobless claims.
The Fed’s credibility rests not on never being wrong, but on being adaptive and forward-looking. Inflation has cooled, wage growth has moderated, and economic momentum is slowing. Now is the time for the Fed to focus not on headline fears, but on real-time data.
We continue to suggest an "up in quality" fixed income bias for the short run, but investors can still consider some of the riskier parts of the fixed income market in moderation.
Until recently, commercial real estate appeared poised for a long-awaited rebound. However, 2025 has revealed a new reality: Uncertainty has become structural.
It’s often said there are only two certainties in life: death and taxes. However, the tax landscape may become somewhat murkier, as the recently passed U.S. House budget bill may potentially lead to some non-U.S. investors paying more taxes than previously anticipated.
US stocks climbed Thursday, ending the day on the cusp of a record as optimism around potential rate cuts stoked risk-on sentiment across financial markets.
Today’s investment landscape, shaped by persistently above-target inflation, structurally higher debt and deficits, and reduced global dollar recycling into US financial markets, has contributed to elevated market volatility alongside historically high policy uncertainty.
Real gross domestic product (GDP) is comprised of four major subcomponents. In the Q1 2025 GDP third estimate, two of the four components made positive contributions.
AQR Capital Management is doubling down on a strategy that seeks to juice returns with leverage for its first new US mutual funds in four years.
Raymond James Ltd enters into agreement with FNZ to accelerate its digital transformation
How do direct indexing ideas fit into a fixed income portfolio? These two powerful strategies make one compelling combination with potential tax and risk management opportunities.
CEFs stand out due to their fixed capital structure, allowing portfolio managers to focus on long-term investment strategies without the need to manage daily inflows and outflows.
Home prices declined in April as the benchmark national index fell for a second straight month. The seasonally adjusted home prices for the national index saw a 0.4% decrease month-over-month and a 2.7% increase year-over-year. This marks the third straight month of year-over-year declines and is the smallest annual gain since August 2023. After adjusting for inflation, the monthly change fell to -0.8% and annual change fell to -1.5%.
The U.S. Dollar Index, when measured against a basket of other major currencies, has declined by approximately 10% this year through mid-June and is currently trading at its lowest level in three years.
Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman warned the current approach to leverage ratio requirements has led to unintended consequences in the market while adding she could support lowering interest rates as soon as July.
When investors approach the financial markets, there’s a tendency to imagine that conditions can be judged as favorable or unfavorable based on one single measure or another. The fact is that market conditions at any moment in time are a composite of interdependent forces.
Fiserv Inc. is lauching its own stablecoin and joining with both traditional and crypto payments firms PayPal Holdings Inc. and Circle Internet Group Inc. to develop products for financial institutions and merchants within the banking technology provider’s ecosystem.
US banks seem likely to get the changes they want to an obscure but important rule known as the supplementary leverage ratio.
Travel on all roads and streets increased in April. The 12-month moving average was up 0.12% month-over-month and was up 0.93% year-over-year. However, if we factor in population growth, the 12-month MA of the civilian population-adjusted data (age 16-and-over) was up 0.06% MoM and down 0.97% YoY.
How big data, AI and the human element can combine to better pursue consistent alpha.
New strategies, shifting flows, and innovative technologies are driving a more dynamic and diversified marketplace in fixed income ETFs.
Blackstone Inc. sees a $200 billion investment opportunity in European credit over the next 10 years, underscoring the region’s appeal to investors looking for alternatives to the US.
Many small deals have done through, including ones from overseas, and an active calendar of corporate shareholder meetings could offer fresh insights into capital plans.
The draft of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) runs more than 1,000 pages. Analysis of the legislation has focused primarily on its impact on the U.S. federal deficit: the Congressional Budget Office estimates that passage would add almost $3 trillion to the national debt over the coming decade.
The ETF market has hit a symbolic turning point: active funds now outnumber passive ones for the first time, marking a sharp break from the industry’s index-tracking origins — even if actively managed assets still account for just a tenth of assets.
The fund shines through as a prime option worthy of consideration among the vast alternatives present in the muni market. With their rare combination of credit quality and yield, munis are offering fixed income investors prime benefits in a still-uncertain bond environment.
FINRA has released new data for margin debt, now available through May. The latest debt level is at $920.96 billion, up 8.3% from April. This marks the first monthly increase and highest debt level since January.
Just one day after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba likened Japan’s debt situation to that of Greece, the country faced its weakest demand for 20-year bonds since 2012.
In part one of our new series, AI Alpha, we explored the sweeping potential of artificial intelligence (AI) as a transformative force.
Unlike most other US public retirement plans of its size, the Tampa Fire & Police Pension Fund doesn’t invest in hedge funds, private equity or private credit.
In the history of technological progress, there's often a critical misreading. We think the leap is in the product—the engine, the chip, the app.
Financial markets have been experiencing some of their wildest trading days in history this year. Stock and bond prices have been moving in unison—an alarming scenario for investors and their advisors. With increased volatility, long-term investors might benefit from additional exposure to alternative strategies within their portfolio allocations.
If I told someone with even a little investing experience that I own an asset that pays like stocks but is stable like bonds, they would probably think I was a huckster or a fool. Yet many of the most sophisticated investors claim to own such a thing.
BlackRock Inc., the world’s largest asset manager, boosted its annual revenue target for 2030 and set its first-ever firmwide target for private-markets fundraising at $400 billion by then.
Leveraged and Inverse Funds
We’re in Good Company
When you have a significant underperformance period, investors have a good reason for wondering if you’ve lost your investing mojo.
Third Quarter Strategic Income Outlook
The second quarter featured a trade war, armed conflicts in the Middle East and Europe, and continued turmoil in Washington, yet markets continued to rally, likely due to an elevated money supply and an increase in passive investing.
Goldman’s Big Hedge Fund Bet Was Perfectly Timed
Goldman reported record equity trading revenue in second-quarter earnings on Wednesday and trounced its peers with a rebound in investment banking revenue that was fueled by a 70% jump in deal-making fees versus the same period last year.
Capital Relief and Lower Bond Yields Support Preferreds in June
June was a month of stabilization and subtle strength for preferreds.
Despite Economic Uncertainties and Wild Market Swings, U.S. Economic Fundamentals Refuse to Buckle
The U.S. economy remains resilient despite headline volatility tied to shifting trade and tariff policies. Meanwhile, we continue to see a lot of volatility in the economic data as the world adjusts to these changing policies.
Preparing Your Team for a Transition
Each month, this column will focus on issues related to advisor transition. One of the most difficult ones is working with your team as you determine how, when, and where to transition your firm.
Goldman Posts Best Stock-Trading Quarter in Wall Street History
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s stock traders posted the largest revenue haul in Wall Street history, as volatility sparked by the Trump administration’s trade war spurred a second straight record quarter for the unit.
Higher Quality High Yield: Addition by Subtraction
High yield bonds have historically delivered attractive long-term returns, and since the Great Financial Crisis they have also become higher quality, as weaker borrowers have departed the sector for the private credit and leveraged loan markets.
One Big Beautiful Bill and MLP/Midstream Implications
With the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) signed into law on July 4, this note briefly discusses some of the implications for energy broadly and the energy infrastructure space.
Economic Crosscurrents in 2025: Inflation, Interest Rates, and Investment Strategy
As 2025 progresses, investors and policymakers are navigating a highly complex economic landscape shaped by three powerful and interrelated forces: evolving trade policy, a cautious U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), and growing concerns over U.S. fiscal discipline.
JPMorgan’s Surprise Dealmaking Gain Shows Tariff Fear Easing
JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s investment bankers eked out a surprise gain in the second quarter, signaling what may be the start of a dealmaking rebound after widespread hesitation tied to US tariff policies.
2025 Mid-Year Outlook: Stay Invested
It is easy to invest when markets are rallying, but it can be tough for investors to stay in their seats when markets inevitably decline again.
Size Matters in the Roth IRA Conversion Decision
We suspect that for many of our clients, converting to a Roth will make sense, either today or in the near future. We hope this note and our calculator will encourage many of you to give the conversion decision another look.
Banks Are Bringing Boots $4.25 Billion Buyout Debt to Market
Banks are looking to sell $2.25 billion of term loans and $2 billion equivalent of bonds for Boots, to help finance its acquisition by US private equity firm Sycamore Partners, according to people familiar with the matter.
Market Review Q2 25: Ping-Pong Policy
As investors try to determine the policy direction of the Trump administration, there is good reason to believe there will be a lot of back and forth.
CLOs Attract Domestic, Foreign Banks, Pushing Up Loan Prices
Banks from Wells Fargo & Co. to smaller Japanese lenders are flocking to top-rated collateralized loan obligation deals, pushing up secondary prices for buyout debt.
Crypto Treasury Firms Swarm Wall Street in SPAC, Merger Boom
A multibillion-dollar capital markets experiment is unfolding on Wall Street, as entrepreneurs use blank-check companies and reverse mergers to take their holdings of digital assets public.
Bitcoin Options Traders Eye $120,000 as Token Extends Record Run
Bitcoin options traders are already setting their sights on higher prices as the original cryptocurrency extends its record-breaking rally for a second day.
Social Security Needs More Than Risky Wagers
I have been a pension nerd since I was 20 years old. So I have been hearing for literally decades that there is a simple, magical solution to all our retirement funding problems: Just take more risk! When the investments pay off, the coffers will be replenished and all will be well.
Are Small Caps Next in Line to Shine?
The valuation of small-cap stocks relative to large caps remains historically attractive, and small-cap recoveries in the past have resulted in meaningful periods of outperformance.
Active Tax Loss Harvesting in Fixed Income: Checking In at Midyear
As we reach the midpoint of 2025, we reflect on the notably volatile trajectory of bond yields so far this year, considering the potential opportunity for tax-aware fixed income investors to harvest losses.
Q2 Bank Earnings Preview: A Dimmer Light?
After mid-level performance in Q1, financials sector earnings are seen slowing in Q2, according to analysts, though favorable signs like the yield curve could help margins.
Fundamentals Are a Lighthouse in the Storm
Franklin Mutual Series shares its mid-year outlook, focusing on corporate fundamentals as a catalyst to unlock value in the midst of ongoing market volatility.
Central Banks are Flying Blind on Hedge Fund Leverage
Global central bankers have ducked a chance to push for tight borrowing constraints on the biggest hedge funds, whose importance to core government bond and other financial markets has grown enormously in the past decade.
Huawei Seeks AI Chip Customers in Middle East, Southeast Asia
Huawei Technologies Co. is trying to export small quantities of AI chips to the Middle East and Southeast Asia, an effort to establish a foothold in markets dominated by Nvidia Corp. despite ongoing manufacturing challenges.
Pentagon Invests in Rare Earth Magnet Producer to Back New Plant
Rare earth magnet producer MP Materials Corp. secured a $400 million equity investment from the US Department of Defense to build a new plant, with a $1 billion financing commitment from JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. The shares soared.
Private Equity-Backed US IPOs Return With Plenty of Leverage
Private equity firms are bringing their portfolio companies back to the US IPO market, testing investor demand for firms that have more debt than other recent listings.
Morningstar’s Kunal Kapoor on the Public/Private Market Convergence
At the recent 2025 Morningstar Investment Conference, CEO Kunal Kapoor highlighted a growing trend that is reshaping the investment landscape.
Private Equity Halftime Report: Key Trends for Advisors
Looking at the first half of 2025 reveals a nuanced landscape for private equity (PE) and principal investors.
AI Posts Strong Q2 Returns as Inference Economy Takes Hold
The artificial intelligence investment landscape reached a critical inflection point in Q2 2025, with the ROBO Global Artificial Intelligence Index (THNQ) delivering exceptional returns of 24.4%.
First Leveraged CLO ETF Tests Retail Crowd’s Appetite for Risk
Reckoner Capital Management is testing investors’ hunger for a new category of risky bets with an exchange-traded fund that uses leverage to juice returns on collateralized loan obligations.
Trump Is Opening a New Chapter in US Foreign Policy
Nearly six months into Donald Trump’s presidency, a Trump Doctrine is coming into view.
Jobs Report Better Than Feared
The headline employment figure came in stronger than expected and better than feared following the weak ADP report, but the details were far from a blockbuster.
Wall Street Is Wrong on Airlines: Americans Are Flying Like Never Before
If you’ve been following the mainstream financial media lately, you might think the airline industry is in crisis. From headlines about tariffs and labor costs to geopolitical tensions and delays at Newark Airport, it sounds like air travel should be tanking.
The Great RIA Consolidation: Private Equity Reshapes Wealth Management
Private equity has officially conquered the registered investment advisor (RIA) landscape. It is now responsible for a significant portion of RIA-linked M&A activity.
Multi-Asset Midyear Outlook: Selectivity Matters
As the second half gets underway, we think a modest overweight to risk assets is called for.
Behind the Meter Solutions Investing Guide
In part 2 of this series, this article looks past the data center operators and focuses on the natural gas pipelines and the manufacturers of natural gas power plant equipment.
Hot Junk Loan Market Hits Stumbling Blocks as Investors Feel Squeeze
A pre-summer frenzy in junk loans is seeing the market start to overheat, prompting investors to get a bit more picky about deals after spreads reached the tightest levels in years.
Goldman Sachs Shops High-Yield Debt Deal for Gray Media
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is leading a potential transaction for Gray Media Inc. to help the company refinance some of its existing debt, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
BlackRock Weighs Selling Stake in Saudi Aramco Gas Pipelines
BlackRock Inc. is considering a sale of its stake in the leasing rights to Saudi Aramco’s natural-gas pipeline network back to the energy giant, according to people familiar with the matter.
The Bull Market is Alive and Well
The bull market is alive and well, even amid widespread talk of the “death of U.S. exceptionalism.
Need Income? Europe’s Commercial Real Estate Debt is Worth a Look
Investors looking for cash flow from commercial real estate may want to check out the debt side.
Growth Equity Portfolio Second Quarter Review June 30, 2025
This quarter might best be described as the “Big Beautiful Bounce”. Or the BBB. History has proven time and time again that markets do come back – but this was a historically quick market turnaround.
Powell Silence on His Future Complicates Trump Fed Chair Search
As President Donald Trump and his advisers begin weighing replacements for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, they’re running into one significant complication: It’s not clear that Powell will leave the US central bank next year.
Private Credit Outlook: Five Lessons Learned
Some say private credit hasn’t been tested. We disagree…and stress can sharpen the senses.
Employment Report: 147K Jobs Added in June, More Than Expected
The latest employment report showed that 147,000 jobs were added in June, up from 144,000 in May and higher than the expected 111,000 addition. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate unexpectedly inched lower to 4.1%.
Under the Macroscope: Why Cutting the SLR Matters
Proposed regulatory changes involving the Supplementary Leverage Ratio may have benefits for both large banks and the Treasury market.
Midyear Fixed Income Outlook: Starting Yields Matter Amid Uncertainty
We began the year optimistic that an environment of slowing growth, disinflation and easier monetary policy would be favorable for fixed income markets. Now at midyear, we maintain that view, while acknowledging that policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks may likely result in continued volatility.
Expand Your Mind and Your Commodity Universe
For good reasons, many investors have a love-hate relationship with commodity investments. Operationally, the annoying K-1 form complicates tax filing, although thankfully the industry has started to launch “no K-1” funds.
Active Management Comes for Private Credit
As direct lending matures and other private credit areas expand, active investors can apply relative value strategies across sectors – and even entire markets – to pursue enhanced outcomes.
SLR: Could It End The Bond Bear Market
For sophisticated investors, this technical shift marks a subtle but powerful pivot in monetary mechanics. It could create demand for Treasuries, improve market liquidity, and push yields lower at a time when the economy is slowing.
Carney Gives Trump a Small Trade Victory in Hunt for Larger Deal
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney handed US President Donald Trump a win in the hope of making bigger gains in trade negotiations.
Beware of Borrowing That Helps Your Advisor, Not You
Margin loan recommendations are often presented by brokers as tax-savvy strategies that allow clients to access “tax-free” cash while keeping their portfolios intact. In many cases, however, the math benefits the advisor more than the investor.
Hedge Funds Pile In as Big US Banks Soar to All-Time Highs
US lenders are on a tear and hedge funds are snapping up shares at a furious pace, underscoring Wall Street’s increasing conviction that their record-breaking rally has more room to run.
Trump Succeeds at Pushing NATO to Spend Five Percent as New Arms Race Begins
Readers of a certain age will no doubt recall President Ronald Reagan launching one of the most ambitious military buildups in American history.
Thematic ETFs in 2025: What’s Next?
Thematic investing has experienced cycles of popularity over time. In less cautious market environments, investors often turn their attention to ambitious ideas — such as disruptive technologies or other transformative future trends — looking beyond traditional equity ETFs.
Stocks are Defying the Naysayers. They Can Keep Going.
The S&P 500 Index just rallied back to all-time highs, brushing off the April tariff shock, the conflict with Iran and the insidious and persistent increase in US continuing jobless claims.
The Fed’s “Transitory” Mistake Is Affecting Its Outlook
The Fed’s credibility rests not on never being wrong, but on being adaptive and forward-looking. Inflation has cooled, wage growth has moderated, and economic momentum is slowing. Now is the time for the Fed to focus not on headline fears, but on real-time data.
Corporate Bonds: Mid-Year 2025 Outlook
We continue to suggest an "up in quality" fixed income bias for the short run, but investors can still consider some of the riskier parts of the fixed income market in moderation.
Bend, Not Break: Investing in Real Estate Amid Economic Uncertainty
Until recently, commercial real estate appeared poised for a long-awaited rebound. However, 2025 has revealed a new reality: Uncertainty has become structural.
Meet the 899-Ton Elephant in U.S. Tax Reform
It’s often said there are only two certainties in life: death and taxes. However, the tax landscape may become somewhat murkier, as the recently passed U.S. House budget bill may potentially lead to some non-U.S. investors paying more taxes than previously anticipated.
S&P 500 Extends Rally, Closing Just Short of Its All-Time High
US stocks climbed Thursday, ending the day on the cusp of a record as optimism around potential rate cuts stoked risk-on sentiment across financial markets.
A Bond Alternative for the New Era of Investing
Today’s investment landscape, shaped by persistently above-target inflation, structurally higher debt and deficits, and reduced global dollar recycling into US financial markets, has contributed to elevated market volatility alongside historically high policy uncertainty.
An Inside Look at the Q1 2025 GDP Third Estimate
Real gross domestic product (GDP) is comprised of four major subcomponents. In the Q1 2025 GDP third estimate, two of the four components made positive contributions.
AQR Bets on Levered Trades in First New US Mutual Funds in Years
AQR Capital Management is doubling down on a strategy that seeks to juice returns with leverage for its first new US mutual funds in four years.
Raymond James Ltd. Announces Strategic Investment in Next-Generation Wealth Management Platform
Raymond James Ltd enters into agreement with FNZ to accelerate its digital transformation
Customize to Optimize: Combining Fixed Income and Direct Indexing
How do direct indexing ideas fit into a fixed income portfolio? These two powerful strategies make one compelling combination with potential tax and risk management opportunities.
Unlocking Investment Opportunities in Closed-End Funds
CEFs stand out due to their fixed capital structure, allowing portfolio managers to focus on long-term investment strategies without the need to manage daily inflows and outflows.
S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index: Annual Gains Continue to Slow
Home prices declined in April as the benchmark national index fell for a second straight month. The seasonally adjusted home prices for the national index saw a 0.4% decrease month-over-month and a 2.7% increase year-over-year. This marks the third straight month of year-over-year declines and is the smallest annual gain since August 2023. After adjusting for inflation, the monthly change fell to -0.8% and annual change fell to -1.5%.
Gold Surpasses Euro as the Second-Largest Reserve Currency in the World
The U.S. Dollar Index, when measured against a basket of other major currencies, has declined by approximately 10% this year through mid-June and is currently trading at its lowest level in three years.
Fed’s Bowman Says ‘Time Has Come’ to Revisit Key Capital Buffer
Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman warned the current approach to leverage ratio requirements has led to unintended consequences in the market while adding she could support lowering interest rates as soon as July.
The Bubble – Contains the Collapse – Contains the Resurgence
When investors approach the financial markets, there’s a tendency to imagine that conditions can be judged as favorable or unfavorable based on one single measure or another. The fact is that market conditions at any moment in time are a composite of interdependent forces.
Fiserv to Offer Own Stablecoin, Partners With PayPal and Circle
Fiserv Inc. is lauching its own stablecoin and joining with both traditional and crypto payments firms PayPal Holdings Inc. and Circle Internet Group Inc. to develop products for financial institutions and merchants within the banking technology provider’s ecosystem.
Bessent’s Top Bank Reform is Good for Markets
US banks seem likely to get the changes they want to an obscure but important rule known as the supplementary leverage ratio.
America's Driving Habits: April 2025
Travel on all roads and streets increased in April. The 12-month moving average was up 0.12% month-over-month and was up 0.93% year-over-year. However, if we factor in population growth, the 12-month MA of the civilian population-adjusted data (age 16-and-over) was up 0.06% MoM and down 0.97% YoY.
Alpha Reimagined
How big data, AI and the human element can combine to better pursue consistent alpha.
5 Themes Defining Bond ETF Investing Today
New strategies, shifting flows, and innovative technologies are driving a more dynamic and diversified marketplace in fixed income ETFs.
Blackstone Sees $200 Billion in Potential European Credit Deals
Blackstone Inc. sees a $200 billion investment opportunity in European credit over the next 10 years, underscoring the region’s appeal to investors looking for alternatives to the US.
M&A Watch: A String of Hot IPOs Could Spark Second-Half Dealmaking
Many small deals have done through, including ones from overseas, and an active calendar of corporate shareholder meetings could offer fresh insights into capital plans.
Treasury Tax Tension
The draft of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) runs more than 1,000 pages. Analysis of the legislation has focused primarily on its impact on the U.S. federal deficit: the Congressional Budget Office estimates that passage would add almost $3 trillion to the national debt over the coming decade.
Active ETFs Now Outnumber Passive Funds in Industry Watershed Moment
The ETF market has hit a symbolic turning point: active funds now outnumber passive ones for the first time, marking a sharp break from the industry’s index-tracking origins — even if actively managed assets still account for just a tenth of assets.
As Munis See Increased Issuance, Here’s an Active Choice
The fund shines through as a prime option worthy of consideration among the vast alternatives present in the muni market. With their rare combination of credit quality and yield, munis are offering fixed income investors prime benefits in a still-uncertain bond environment.
Margin Debt Jumps 8.3% in May
FINRA has released new data for margin debt, now available through May. The latest debt level is at $920.96 billion, up 8.3% from April. This marks the first monthly increase and highest debt level since January.
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly: The Japan Problem
Just one day after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba likened Japan’s debt situation to that of Greece, the country faced its weakest demand for 20-year bonds since 2012.
AI: The Challenges for Investors
In part one of our new series, AI Alpha, we explored the sweeping potential of artificial intelligence (AI) as a transformative force.
The Florida Pension Fund Managers Who've Beaten the S&P 500 Over 50 Years
Unlike most other US public retirement plans of its size, the Tampa Fire & Police Pension Fund doesn’t invest in hedge funds, private equity or private credit.
The Compute Capital Supercycle: AI’s Silent Infrastructure Revolution
In the history of technological progress, there's often a critical misreading. We think the leap is in the product—the engine, the chip, the app.
Should Investors Consider Options-Based Strategies to Help Manage Portfolio Risk?
Financial markets have been experiencing some of their wildest trading days in history this year. Stock and bond prices have been moving in unison—an alarming scenario for investors and their advisors. With increased volatility, long-term investors might benefit from additional exposure to alternative strategies within their portfolio allocations.
Harvard and Yale Will Finally Lift the Veil on Private Assets
If I told someone with even a little investing experience that I own an asset that pays like stocks but is stable like bonds, they would probably think I was a huckster or a fool. Yet many of the most sophisticated investors claim to own such a thing.
BlackRock Targets $400 Billion Private-Market Haul by 2030
BlackRock Inc., the world’s largest asset manager, boosted its annual revenue target for 2030 and set its first-ever firmwide target for private-markets fundraising at $400 billion by then.