Fixed Income Options After Second Fed Rate Cut

As widely expected, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points for a second time this year. This gives fixed income investors an opportunity to reposition their portfolios with intermediate bonds or reconsider active exposure if they don’t have it already.

The Fed has been uncharacteristically telegraphic in its interest policy decisions as of late. This accurately led the markets to believe that a rate cut was forthcoming. In the most recent iteration of its post-rate decision statement, the Fed acknowledged moderate expansion of the economy while inflation remains elevated.

“Available indicators suggest that economic activity has been expanding at a moderate pace. Job gains have slowed this year, and the unemployment rate has edged up but remained low through August; more recent indicators are consistent with these developments,” the statement said. “Inflation has moved up since earlier in the year and remains somewhat elevated.”

Given this latest cut, will another happen before 2025 turns into 2026? Currently, the CME Group is forecasting an over 85% chance that may occur and potentially more to come in the new year.

Interest rate decisions can always induce a level of angst for the bond markets. For advisors and individual investors, positioning fixed income portfolios appropriately in the current rate environment is paramount. As such, consider options from Vanguard as an ideal path for bond ETF exposure as the rate-cutting cycle resumes.