The $100 Billion Sprint: Decoding the Early 2026 ETF Inflows

After a record $1.5 trillion year for the ETF industry in 2025, demand has not slowed down in January. Indeed, as of January 21, ETFs had already gathered $103 billion of new money. Some trends have persisted while others have shifted in the new year. On Thursday, January 29, during the VettaFi Winter Symposium, we are going to look at the 2025 ETF flow trends as seen by leading asset manager Fidelity. However, here are some things that caught my attention to start 2026.

Actively Managed ETFs in Demand in 2026

In 2025, despite representing just over 10% of ETF assets, actively managed ETFs gathered nearly one-third of all ETF inflows. Investors increasingly turned to discretionary active equity and fixed income ETFs and not just index-based ETFs. That has persisted thus far in 2026, with active ETFs gathering 37% of new money.

Active fixed income ETFs, which pulled in 40% of the category’s flows in 2025, have been particularly in focus for investors. The PIMCO Multisector Bond Active ETF (PYLD) has led the charge this year with $1.0 billion of new money, but others like the iShares Flexible Income Active ETF (BINC), the Fidelity Total Bond ETF (FBND), and the JPMorgan Income ETF (JPIE) have had great starts. We believe with limited clarity about the Fed’s next moves, investors are turning to experts to help them navigate.

Geopolitics Driving Thematic ETFs

After 3 years with outflows, thematic ETFs bounced back with $23 billion of inflows according to State Street Investment Management. More than two thirds of that new money flowed into robotics and artificial intelligence ETFs. However the Global X Defense Tech ETF (SHLD) was among the other more popular thematic ETFs in 2025, gathering $3.6 billion. In the new year, with geopolitical tensions high, demand for the Global X fund has continued. SHLD pulled in $685 million and was up 19% in the first few weeks. SHLD owns well-known defense companies like Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman as well as Palantir Technologies.