What Utilities, Energy, Industrials, and Banks Could Tell Markets

Takeaways

  • The bull market has broadened out, and several non-tech Investor Days, Analyst Days, and Business Updates could offer color on the Main Street economy

  • Improved manufacturing sentiment sets the stage for fresh corporate commentary

  • Along with Q4 earnings and early-year conferences, these investor events offer both qualitative and quantitative color

Tech stocks and the AI trade have powered global markets ever since the bull run began in October 2022. This year’s gains, which include record highs from Japan to Europe, have featured a fresh set of leaders. In the U.S., Energy and Materials have led the way, posting collective double-digit returns through early February. Not far behind are other “real economy” stocks from the Consumer Staples and Industrials sectors.

Often, this “sector rotation” is taken as a positive, particularly when the S&P 500 is able to maintain high levels as the alpha baton is passed. Some pundits, however, have grown concerned that late-cycle industries and even defensive niches are beginning to outperform—now more than three years into the bull market.

No matter the outcome—bullish or bearish—there’s more focus on cyclical and value companies right now. We’ll get two more of the Mag 7 companies reporting numbers this week, but away from Alphabet (GOOGL) and Amazon (AMZN), key macro clues will come from non-tech sectors. What’s more, corporate events such as investor conferences, shareholder meetings, interim data, analyst forums, and business updates buttress financial statement releases.

Our team spotted a handful of such gatherings from non-tech, blue-chip firms in the next several weeks that may shed light on the state of the manufacturing and Main Street economies. These events come after the best Institute for Supply Management (ISM) U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) reading since August 2022, released this past Monday. A new leg to the bull market may indeed be getting underway—not from tech, but from old-school areas. Here are the notable events that will help us figure that out: