Adding AI Resilience to Equity Portfolios

2025 was a strong year for U.S. equity markets, driven partially by large-cap technology stocks exposed to the artificial intelligence (AI) theme. But the market has become more discerning in 2026. As investors reassess where AI creates value versus where it may erode it, we have seen sectors such as software, brokerage platforms, professional services and insurance companies sell off on fears of AI disruption. This has some investors looking to allocate toward businesses viewed as more durable.

As market leadership rotates and recalibrates, a theme we discuss in our Q2 Equity Market Outlook, allocators have sought refuge in parts of the market that may be less susceptible to AI disruption risk. Sectors such as energy, utilities, industrials and materials outperformed the broader U.S. equity market (and the technology sector) in the first quarter of the year.1

This market rotation has led to the coining of a new phrase: HALO, which stands for Heavy Assets Low Obsolescence. HALO refers to companies with capital-intensive physical infrastructure that is difficult or impossible to digitize, such as a barrel of oil or a power plant. While AI can impact these businesses, it is more likely to be leveraged for efficiency gains instead of replacing their core competencies.

Times have changed

Investors looking to bolster their portfolios with resilience against AI-led disruption need to be more nimble and intentional in their allocations today. The reason: With technology and growth equities leading the U.S. market for the past several years, their weights in core indexes like the S&P 500 have increased, leaving less exposure to companies in sectors like energy, utilities, industrials and materials. HALO sectors represented just 17% of the S&P 500 Index at the end of February, compared to the combination of technology and communication services near a 10-year high at 43%, as shown in the chart below.

Ample imbalance

Weight of selected sectors in the S&P 500 Index, 2016-2026