Solving the Structural AI Power Deficit

Semiconductors and software have largely overshadowed the electrification ETF trade. Paul Baiocchi, head of fund sales and strategy at SS&C ALPS Advisors, says most investors are missing the sectors that actually power the AI buildout.

Key Takeaways:

  • Materials, utilities, and energy make up less than 10% of the S&P 500, despite powering the AI buildout.
  • ELFY serves as the anchor holding, with ENFR, SMRF, and REIT as targeted add-ons.
  • Natural gas generates 42% of U.S. electricity and pipelines are increasingly powering data centers directly.

On this week’s ETF Prime, Baiocchi argued that AI depends on hardware, hardware depends on power, and power depends on natural resources, including copper, steel, and energy commodities. That chain runs through pockets of the market that most portfolios barely own.

See more: ETF Prime: Space & AI Infrastructure in Focus

Materials, utilities, and energy together make up less than 10% of the S&P 500. Technology, communications services, and consumer discretionary account for more than 50%. according to Baiocchi.

That imbalance, he said, reflects a structural weakness in cap-weighted indexes. Baiocchi pointed to fund manager Rob Arnott, who has long argued that market-cap weighted indexes are “backward looking” and too slow to capture where economic growth is headed, when host Nate Geraci asked why investors shouldn’t simply let indexes catch up over time.

Baiocchi said the U.S. spent $115 billion on the grid in 2025. Bloomberg New Energy Finance forecasts roughly $100 billion in annual grid investment for the next 10 to 20 years, he added, citing the firm. Copper supply faces a deficit for years ahead as infrastructure buildout outpaces production, he said.