Retail ETFs: Defensive Retail Meets Digital Growth

The consumer is still spending, but with a higher level of caution. Inflation remains a persistent pressure point, particularly for lower- and middle-income households. This has caused the U.S. personal saving rate to fall to 3.6% as of March 2026, leaving significantly less breathing room for discretionary purchases.

Against this environment, consumer staples continue to look highly attractive relative to more cyclical consumer discretionary categories. This isn’t because staples are completely immune to macroeconomic pressures, but because many of these businesses sell everyday goods, emphasize value, and have revenue streams that tend to be stickier in uncertain environments. Retailers, including staples companies, are also shifting toward e-commerce which has widened its reach from select discretionary items to broad consumer needs.

Pers savings rate

The consumer is still spending, but with a higher level of caution. Inflation remains a persistent pressure point, particularly for lower- and middle-income households. This has caused the U.S. personal saving rate to fall to 3.6% as of March 2026, leaving significantly less breathing room for discretionary purchases.