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Prof. Schiller and CAPE, Maybe Correct Generally, But Specifically Wrong: The Market is Cheap
by Chuck Carnevale of F.A.S.T. Graphs, 10/12/11
This is the first of what will be a series of articles arguing in favor of investing in and owning quality common stocks now and for the foreseeable future. On an absolute basis, on real numbers precisely calculated, we believe that the markets in general are attractively valued today. The F.A.S.T. Graphs S&P 500 graph calculation is a current fact. Therefore, we believe that some of our finest and highest quality businesses are currently priced at the best valuations that we've seen in many years. Low valuations, represent an excellent opportunity for investors.

The Legacy of Steve Jobs and the Record of Apple will Live On
by Chuck Carnevale of F.A.S.T. Graphs, 10/7/11
The first time Steve Jobs left Apple in 1985 he was fired. In short, his partners in upper management and the Board of Directors at that time did not share Steve's vision for Apple. His friend, Larry Ellison, CEO of Oracle Corp., recently quipped upon the firing of another high profile CEO: That it was the second dumbest decision by a Board of Directors next to Apple's firing of Steve Jobs. What follows, will be a review of the consequences of Steve Jobs firing, followed by what he accomplished upon his return.

Are You Properly Positioned for the Return of the Economic Vitality of America
by Chuck Carnevale of F.A.S.T. Graphs, 9/30/11
It has been my observation over my last four decades of studying the stock market that investors have a penchant for projecting into the future what is currently happening. In other words, when the market is behaving badly, they tend to believe it is going to continue to behave badly far into the future. And as I reflect on this, it occurs to me that every bull market has ended with a bear market, and conversely, every bear market has ended with a bull market. The most important attribute to remember about free-markets is that they self adjust. Most know this as the law of supply and demand.

5 Exceptional Dividend Growth Stocks - Lower Volatility and Higher Total Return
by Chuck Carnevale of F.A.S.T. Graphs, 9/23/11
For many people these are troubled times where fears about our economy and the stock market are at a heightened state. Stock price volatility is higher than we've ever seen it, adding to investor nervousness. Therefore, we searched for a safe place for conservative investors to invest. Our due diligence identified five dividend growth stocks that possess stringent quality characteristics, while at the same time have produced strong above-average historical returns. But more importantly, each candidate had to have future consensus earnings estimated growth rates greater than the S&P 500.

Sell your Bonds and Gold and Buy Dividend Growth Stocks Before it is Too Late
by Chuck Carnevale of F.A.S.T. Graphs, 9/16/11
Although we generally believe in the soundness of the principle of diversification, we also believe that extraordinary times require extraordinary measures. Any historian of markets or economies would agree that financial markets are currently far from behaving ordinarily. We intend to point out several markets that are behaving both inefficiently and completely out-of-sync from sound and prudent economic principles. Therefore, we will argue that certain sacred cows that would and should apply during normal circumstances need to be questioned and challenged in these very uncertain times.

Strong Standard and Poor's 500 Earnings plus Weak Stock Values equals Opportunity
by Chuck Carnevale of F.A.S.T. Graphs, 9/10/11
Extensive research, experience and analysis spanning more than 40 years has taught me that earnings determine market price in the long run. I have dubbed this principle with the acronym EDMP. However, there also exists a short-run evil twin sister EDMP. This principle states that emotions determine market price in the short run. Currently, the evil twin sister EDMP is in charge. In the longer run, I believe this spells opportunity based on the oldest of all investing adages 'buy low sell high.'

8 Strong Growth Stocks Significantly Under-valued by Mr. Market
by Chuck Carnevale of F.A.S.T. Graphs, 9/2/11
We don't believe in investing in the stock market, we believe in investing in great businesses. Therefore, we tend to focus more on how the business is performing on an operating basis than we do on stock price volatility. True Worth valuation is what we monitor and measure most closely. Our rationale is based on the reality that any business, public or private, ultimately derives its value from the amount of cash flows and earnings it can generate for stakeholders. The bigger the income stream they can buy, the bigger the value they will eventually receive.

The Greatest Risk We Face: To Again Fall Into a Recession
by Chuck Carnevale of F.A.S.T. Graphs, 8/24/11
A spate of frightening headlines has led to two troubling declines in financial instruments. The first, of course, is the decline in equity prices that has everyone worried about their financial futures. The second troubling decline in financial instruments is the unprecedented drop in Treasury bond yields. This is troubling because frightened investors are fleeing to the safety of Treasury bonds at the precise time when the risk of owning them has perhaps been the highest in recorded history. This is especially true for the long bond, but also applies to shorter-term bonds.

Warren Buffett Said Ignore Political and Economic Forecasts
by Julie Carnevale of F.A.S.T. Graphs, 8/12/11
This article is about casting a light of reason on the longer-term perspective, in contrast to what is typically an emotionally charged attitude about short-term volatility. It is human nature to judge the performance of our portfolios based on their closing stock price for any given day, week, month, or even quarter. The point we're trying to make here is that it is not the most important factor, unless you were actually planning to sell on the day you measure it. Otherwise, the intrinsic value derived from the operating results that you generate is more important than price volatility.

FW: F.A.S.T. Graphs video blog on 3M Co. (MMM) and Emerson Electric Co. (EMR)
by Chuck Carnevale of F.A.S.T. Graphs, 8/1/11
At the special request of readers of our recent blog post titled Six High-profile Industrials with Staggering Three-year Performance? (Part 1) we have prepared a short video blog looking at 3M Corp. and Emerson Electric through the lens of our F.A.S.T. Graphs research tool. Click this link to view the video: youtu.be/EJrIx9sxhQ4

Cummins Inc. (CMI) Staggering Three-Year Annualized Performance?
by Chuck Carnevale of F.A.S.T. Graphs, 7/29/11
The recent history for Cummins Inc. (CMI) clearly illustrates that sometimes the greatest opportunities can be found during times of crisis. This gives credence to Warren Buffett's sage advice "be greedy when others are fearful, and fearful when others are greedy." Furthermore, stock price volatility is a fact that cannot be avoided when investing in publicly traded common stocks. On the other hand, we offer this analysis as evidence that over the longer run operating results are clearly more important than price volatility.

Six High-profile Industrials with Staggering Three-year Performance? (Part 1)
by Chuck Carnevale of F.A.S.T. Graphs, 7/28/11
As a general rule there is an undeniable relationship between earnings and stock price. Where earnings go, stock price is sure to follow. However, since there are exceptions to every rule, there will be occasions where earnings and price become disconnected. When price rises significantly above earnings, we call this overvaluation. On the other hand, when price falls significantly below earnings, we call this undervaluation. Consequently, on this basis the principles of valuation can be a reliable and profitable means that investors can use to make intelligent buy or sell decisions.
Results 751–762 of 762 found.