Allianz Global Investors

After a strong first half to 2017 for equities, the message for the remainder of the year is to look for returns more carefully in the second half says Neil Dwane, global strategist for Allianz Global Investors. The “country factor” will be key: We believe investors can no longer rely on a rising tide of cyclical data to lift all boats.

Raising the federal funds rate is just one part of the Fed’s plan for higher interest rates. Another part, according to Steve Malin, investment strategist at Allianz Global Investors, is the somewhat tricky process of purging $2 trillion in US Treasury and agency securities from the Fed’s balance sheet.

Why not use summertime to catch up on your reading? Neil Dwane, global strategist for Allianz Global Investors, has a summer reading list that combines engaging narratives with timely insight into investing themes. Among the 12 books listed here, we think you'll find something to enlighten your summer.

Target Date Funds (TDFs) have transformed retirement investing, but the static approach to the glidepath leaves many investors at risk. A more dynamic strategy is needed, and Glenn Dial, Head of Retirement Strategy in the US with Allianz Global Investors, says it all begins with defining what dynamic investing actually is.

With a new majority in the French National Assembly, President Macron has increased the chances parliament will pass his ambitious reforms aimed at labor and economic growth. But France also faces some hard fiscal realities that may take some time to fix.

In a clear signal from voters who feel left behind by globalization, populist political parties have been gaining ground around the world. This could create serious long-term headwinds for economies and markets – including lower growth and higher inflation – says Stefan Hofrichter, chief economist with Allianz Global Investors.

Although the volatility index has remained relatively flat this year, Hans-Jörg Naumer, Global Head of Capital Markets & Thematic Research with Allianz Global Investors, says looming political risks, divergent monetary policies and low global productivity should give investors pause. At the same time, central banks are extremely accommodative and the global economy is continuing its strong recovery.

Despite a recent bout of plunging prices, Neil Dwane, global strategist for Allianz Global Investors, says the oil market should grind higher on solid global demand, renewed supply constraints and still-significant underinvestment. All of which builds a clear case for investing in the energy sector.

Greece is back in the headlines with the resumption of bailout talks. As its economy continues to struggle, Neil Dwane, global strategist for Allianz Global Investors, wonders if Greece and the EU can learn lessons from Iceland, which found a way to turn short-term pain into long-term gain.

With his victory as France's new president-elect, Emmanuel Macron can celebrate – for now. Much depends on whether he can secure a parliamentary majority in June. Nevertheless, Macron’s win helps investors see the more positive side to the European story.

Beset with low rates, slow growth and a new US president who wants a significant shift in policy, Steve Malin, investment strategist at Allianz Global Investors, says the Federal Reserve faces one of the most uncertain periods in its 104-year history. What could this mean for investors.

Markets cheered the prospect of an Emmanuel Macron presidency, but even if he wins, his reforms may lack parliamentary support. As a result, Franck Dixmier, Global Head of Fixed Income for Allianz Global Investors, says the risk aversion of recent weeks could last until France’s legislative elections in June.

When the first round of voting kicks off in the French presidential election on 23 April, the outcome will determine not only France’s political future, but whether the EU moves closer to unity in this critical “super cycle” election year.

The highly valued US equity market has served many investors well in recent years, but Neil Dwane, Global Strategist for Allianz Global Investors, warns investors should watch for several factors that could put downward pressure on prices. At the top: Trumponomics troubles and growing inflation fears.

Favourable European election results coupled with progress for the Republican growth agenda in the US could soften market uncertainty, says Greg Meier, strategist with Allianz Global Investors. But for the next few weeks, the road still looks bumpy.

For Target Date Funds (TDFs), the focus has always been on reaching retirement day with little consideration as to what comes next. Now, on the brink of a baby boomer exodus from the workforce, Glenn Dial, Head of Retirement Strategy in the US with Allianz Global Investors, says TDFs should aim way past the target date to focus on retirement income, and lots of it.

The UK’s triggering of Article 50 on March 29 is like firing the starting pistol on the process of leaving the EU – but this race will be slow and tortuous. Here is our view on what investors should expect and how they should prepare.

In the coming months, important elections in the Netherlands, France and Germany will determine more than the fate of individual politicians. Growing populism and anti-Europe sentiment could move the European Union away from integration and toward disintegration says Ingo Mainert, CIO Multi Asset Europe for Allianz Global Investors.

One hundred years after the Russian Revolution, the tsars and the USSR may be gone, but Russia itself is alive and well. Neil Dwane, Global Strategist for Allianz Global Investors says that with the US becoming more isolationist, Russia has a chance to revise its standing with the US and EU – but this time, as an equal.

Regulators and policymakers in China have been enticing foreign investors with easier access to its bond markets – and David Tan, Asia-Pacific fixed-income CIO with Allianz Global Investors, says it’s working. Of particular interest are green bonds: China has become the third-largest issuer and we expect continued growth in this area.

While China celebrates its Lunar New Year, the reform-minded President Xi is likely polishing up his next Five Year Plan, says Neil Dwane, Global Strategist for Allianz Global Investors. Perhaps he will put his own twist on a predecessor’s strategy and look to strengthen China in four key areas: agriculture, science and technology, defense and industry.

Within hours of assuming office, Donald Trump began issuing executive orders and policy proposals to fulfill his campaign promises. Neil Dwane, Global Strategist for Allianz Global Investors, asks if Trump really wants to “make America great again”, is he addressing the long-term structural problems that sorely need fixing?

At the outset of his presidency, Donald Trump is facing the most scrutinized first 100 days in the history of the office. In a time that will set the tone for the next four years, Peter Lefkin, senior vice president of government and external affairs at Allianz of America, previews the hot-button issues confronting the new president.

In his roundup of our latest Investment Forum, Neil Dwane, Global Strategist for Allianz Global Investors, highlights the top themes driving markets and economies – including China’s growing role in global indices, Trump’s ability to disrupt the status quo, Europe’s super-election cycle and the “hunt for income” going global.

Global Strategist for Allianz Global Investors Neil Dwane says the rumbling sound being heard by politicians and power-brokers at the World Economic Forum in Davos comes from a new political avalanche of populism – one that threatens to sweep away decades of pro-globalization sentiment and change the investment landscape.

Allianz Global Investor’s Capital Markets and Thematic Research team and analyst Ann-Katrin Petersen say that even though the year ahead will continue to be challenged by uncertainties, market disruptions may prove fleeting—and cooler heads will likely prevail.

As the markets close the books on another tumultuous year, Neil Dwane, Global Strategist for Allianz Global Investors, says investors should keep watch on the rise of populist politics, China’s re-emergence as a global growth engine and a renewed focus on government spending as interest rates remain low.

Peering into the next 12 months, Neil Dwane, Global Strategist for Allianz Global Investors, looks at how 10 hypothetical events – including a “soft Brexit”, the rise of “green bonds” and a Le Pen victory in France – could affect economies and markets around the world.

During his campaign, Trump took a restrictive trade stance that could hurt export-reliant countries in Asia—particularly China. But with continued rebalancing and a regional focus, Stefan Scheurer, economist with Allianz Global Investors, says China's influence in Asia could grow even bigger.

With a growing likelihood that Trump's fiscal policies will be inflationary, this could translate into a faster Fed tightening cycle says Greg Meier, strategist with Allianz Global Investors. So will President Trump find it easier to bring back inflation rather than factory jobs?

The DOL fiduciary rule's far-sweeping changes have placed risk management front and center for financial advisors. From practice management to portfolio risk, Glenn Dial, Head of Retirement Strategy in the US with Allianz Global Investors, says the stakes are elevated, even after the election.

As the markets close the books on another tumultuous year, Neil Dwane, Global Strategist for Allianz Global Investors, says investors should keep watch on the rise of populist politics, China’s re-emergence as a global growth engine and a renewed focus on government spending as interest rates remain low.

Less than two weeks out from the US Presidential election and the response from financial markets has been swift and dramatic. In the aftershock of this post-election period, Kristina Hooper, US Investment Strategist at Allianz Global Investors, outlines five key market trends impacting investor portfolios.

Many political pundits are struggling to provide answers for Donald Trump's surprising election victory. Kristina Hooper, US Investment Strategist at Allianz Global Investors, however, says it may be as simple as an over-reliance on monetary policy, which has resulted in income as well as asset inequality.

In a presidential election that grew more shocking with each passing week, the results somehow seem fitting. Peter Lefkin, senior vice president of government and external affairs at Allianz of America, reviews how it happened and explains why almost everyone was wrong in predicting the outcome of the 2016 election.

The next POTUS will have his or her deal-making skills severely tested amid rising political tensions.

Making up about 17% of US GDP and affecting all, healthcare has long been a political lightning rod in US elections. Kristina Hooper, US investment strategist at Allianz Global Investors, along with Peter Lefkin, senior vice president of government and external affairs at Allianz of America, scrutinize the 2016 candidates' healthcare positions and their potential impact on the economy.

Amid a most astounding presidential campaign season, tax policy has gone virtually unnoticed. Kristina Hooper, US Investment Strategist at Allianz Global Investors, looks past the rhetoric to shed light on the candidates’ tax proposals and what a Clinton or Trump victory could mean for the US economy.

For the second time in as many debates, the US presidential candidates failed to talk about fiscal spending. Much too important to go unmentioned, Kristina Hooper, US Investment Strategist at Allianz Global Investors, presents each candidate’s fiscal platform and the potential implications for the US economy.

Lost in the analysis of last week’s first presidential debate was the brief but important mention of infrastructure. It’s actually the one thing both candidates agree on, according to Kristina Hooper, US Investment Strategist at Allianz Global Investors, who says investors would do well to take note.