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Can Stocks Deliver the Goods in 2015?
by Burt White of LPL Financial, 12/3/14
We believe stocks will deliver mid- to high-single-digit returns in 2015. We expect earnings, and not valuations, to do the heavy lifting in producing potential stock market gains for investors in 2015. Monetary policy is in transit in 2015, when stocks will face a shift from the very loose monetary policy of the Federal Reserves (Fed) quantitative easing (QE) program to an environment in which the Fed begins to hike interest rates.

Emerging Markets Opportunity Still Emerging
by Burt White of LPL Financial, 11/21/14
We believe emerging markets (EM) fundamental conditions are set for improvement in 2015, based on our outlooks for economic growth, earnings, and policy. Valuations are compelling and EM may be situated to recapture some of their relative losses from a technical perspective, particularly in Asian markets. However, somewhat mixed fundamental and technical pictures suggest a better opportunity may be forthcoming

High-Yield Bonds & Oil Prices
by Team of LPL Financial, 11/14/14
The decline in oil prices and its impact on the high-yield market has been cited as a concern for investors. This week we stay on the topic of high-yield bonds and take a closer look at the potential impact of oil prices on the high-yield bond market and whether recent concerns are justified.

Recovery Reality
by John Canally of LPL Financial, 10/30/14
The U.S. economy is improving, and in many cases is back to normal, but it remains stubbornly weak in some areas. Real world indicators that point to the health of the economy include crane rental rates and customer traffic in restaurants. Economic uncertainty -- likely a drag on economic growth in 2011, 2012, and 2013 -- has faded as a concern in 2014, consistent with the Feds most recent Beige Book.

Corporate Calm
by Burt White, Jeffrey Buchbinder of LPL Financial, 10/29/14
We remain confident in corporate Americas ability to generate solid earnings growth in the current global economic environment despite the slowdown in Europe (and to a lesser extent, China). A number of U.S. companies have performed relatively well in Europe, with some not yet seeing signs of a slowdown in their business. The business environment overseas appears to be good enough for companies to largely maintain their outlooks for the rest of the year and into 2015.

Oil Hits the Skids
by Burt White of LPL Financial, 10/22/14
We believe the oil sell-off is overdone and expect the commodity to find a floor in the low $80s. We expect firming global growth to increase the markets confidence in global oil demand despite weakness in Europe. Energy service stocks are particularly oversold and may be attractive as the services-intensive U.S. energy renaissance continues.

Disinflation Infatuation
by Anthony Valeri of LPL Financial, 10/17/14
Inflation expectations have fallen sharply in recent weeks, driven by European disinflation, lower energy prices, and overall growth concerns. The persistence of low inflation expectations may intensify the lower for longer theme via lower growth expectations and delays to potential Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes.

Pullback Perspective
by Burt White of LPL Financial, 10/17/14
We see the recent increase in volatility as normal within the context of an ongoing bull market. We do not believe the age of the bull market, at more than 5.5 years old, means it should end. We maintain our positive outlook for stocks for the remainder of 2014 and into 2015.

Housing Hiatus?
by John Canally of LPL Financial, 10/2/14
We continue to expect housing may add to GDP growth in 2014 and for the next several years as the market normalizes following the severe housing bust of 2005-2010. Housing affordability and supply, and the supply and demand for home mortgages, will likely determine the pace at which housing increases GDP growth in the years ahead. The inventory of new and existing homes for sale as a percentage of total households has never been lower.

Dont Fight the ECB? Part 2
by Burt White of LPL Financial, 9/25/14
Last week we discussed why buying European stocks now, following the recent stimulus announced by the ECB, is very different from buying U.S. stocks during periods of Fed stimulus in recent years. This week we take a deeper dive into the investment opportunity in Europe and evaluate fundamentals, valuations, and technicals. We recommend that investors fight the ECB. We do not believe the additional stimulus is enough for us to recommend European equities over U.S. equities at this time.

Fall FOMC Watch
by John Canally of LPL Financial, 9/17/14
We continue to expect the Fed to again cut its bond purchase program and remain on pace to exit QE by year end. However, odds have increased that the Fed could change something at this weeks FOMC meeting, including omitting its promise to keep rates low for a considerable time or providing the public with an update to its exit strategy. We are continuing to watch our Yellen indicators, including the unemployment rate, the job quit rate, and the output gap, to gain insight into whether the Fed will raise rates sooner than expected.

Back to School With the Three Rs: Revenues, Reinvestment, and Renaissance
by Burt White, Jeffrey Buchbinder of LPL Financial, 9/9/14
We believe the three Rs are keys to the outlook for the stock market: revenues (and profits), reinvestment, and the renaissance in manufacturing. We expect stocks to garner support from these three Rs in the form of continued growth in revenues and profits, more corporate reinvestment, and continued steady gains for the U.S. manufacturing sector.

Midterms May Mean More Gains for Stocks
by Burt White, Jeffrey Buchbinder of LPL Financial, 9/4/14
With the midterm elections now just two months away and campaigning starting to heat up, we thought we would share our current views on the political landscape and what it may mean for U.S equities. In our two Outlook 2014 publications for this year, we posited that the U.S. economy and corporate profits may drive the stock market higher and investors could turn their attention away from policymakers in Washington, who were such a distraction in 2013 and earlier in the current economic expansion.

Bond Yields Around a First Rate Hike
by Anthony Valeri of LPL Financial, 8/29/14
Historically, bond yields have begun to move more forcefully four to six months ahead of a first rate hike from the Fed. We believe the rise in interest rates may begin sooner this cycle due to lower yields and more expensive valuations. We favor capitalizing on year-to-date bond strength and recommend a defensive posture consisting of short to intermediate bonds.

Data Dilemma: When Final Isn't Final
by John Canally of LPL Financial, 8/28/14
Revisions to GDP dont often change the overall picture of the health, or lack thereof, of the economy. Despite cutbacks to congressional funding of data collection at the federal level in recent years, the GDP data are a lot more accurate than they used to be. About every five years, the BEA does a comprehensive revision to GDP, and at that point, GDP for any specific quarter is just about as final as it will get, as the BEA has 98% of the data it needs to calculate GDP.

Reconnected?
by John Canally of LPL Financial, 8/6/14
With the release of the GDP figures for the second quarter of 2014 (along with revisions to the data back to 1999), the disconnect appears to be fading. The data released so far for the third quarter suggest that the underlying economy had decent momentum as the third quarter began. The data continue to suggest that the U.S. economy is poised to post growth in the second half of 2014 above the long-term run rate of the economy. With plenty of slack still in the labor market, in our view, the Fed is not likely to begin raising rates until late 2015, or even early 2016.

Stock Market Valuations Suggest That This Bull Market Still Has Teeth
by Team of LPL Financial, 8/5/14
Losing under 3% in a week seems a minor concern given historical market ups and downs; nevertheless, investors may begin to wonder if stock market valuations are signaling a decline. Since the end of the last significant sell-off for stocks, the market has been in a pretty consistent upward trend. Valuation is a poor market-timing indicator; while valuation should always be considered, it is a blunt tool that should be taken into broader context.

Calling the Feds Bluff
by Anthon Valeri of LPL Financial, 7/31/14
Futures continue to indicate the bond market believes the Fed does not have an ace up its sleeve and that ultimately they will not raise rates as high as they project. A host of top-tier economic data may influence bonds more this week given the absence of new forecasts and a press conference following this weeks Fed meeting.

LPL Financial Research Mid-Year Outlook 2014: Investors Almanac Field Notes
by Jeff Kleintop of LPL Financial, 7/1/14
At this years halfway point, we are pleased to offer the LPL Financial Research Mid-Year Outlook 2014: Investors Almanac Field Notes containing key observations and updates to our outlook for 2014. Similar to a farming almanac, our Investors Almanac is a publication containing a guide to patterns, tendencies, and seasonal observations important to growing. The goal of farming is not merely to grow crops, but to sustain living thingsinvesting shares the same goal.

Behind the Curve?
by Anthony Valeri of LPL Financial, 6/26/14
Despite the Fed labeling the recent inflation increase as noise, longer-term bond yields rose, inflation expectations increased, and the yield curve steepened -- all signs of the bond market pricing in inflation risks. As the low inflation pillar of year-to-date bond strength fades, it may be one more reason to be cautious in the bond market.

World Cup and World CPI Are Heating Up, Risking Mistakes by Key Players
by Jeffrey Kleintop of LPL Financial, 6/25/14
Just as the World Cup has been heating up, increasing the risk of player mistakes, the world consumer price index (CPI) has also been heating up, complicating the task for policymakers at the worlds central banks and increasing the risk of mistakes that could have market implications.
Results 351–371 of 371 found.